Finance · 6 min read

Inflation-Adjusted vs Nominal Investment Returns

**Nominal returns** are what your statement shows. **Real (inflation-adjusted) returns** subtract purchasing power loss—critical for retirement horizons over 20+ years.

Step by step

1. Pick a consistent inflation assumption

Use long-run CPI or stress +2–3% above your base case.

2. Convert ending balance

Real value ≈ nominal / (1 + cumulative inflation).

3. Plan withdrawals in real dollars

Retirement spending goals should be inflation-linked.

Nominal vs real

7% nominal with 3% inflation ≈ 4% real—still good, but not 7% spending power.

  • Nominal: Easy to read from statements; overstates buying power.
  • Real: Better for goals; requires inflation estimate.

Common mistakes

  • Retirement target in today's dollars without inflating expenses

FAQ

Should I use CPI or personal inflation?

CPI for broad planning; add buffer for housing/education if relevant.